Analysis for WTI Crude Oil (Front Month)
Description & usage
WTI Crude Oil (Front Month) represents the near-term US benchmark price for crude oil. It reacts strongly to inventory data, OPEC policy, US production trends, and global demand signals. Its value proposition is deep liquidity and central relevance for energy pricing and inflation expectations. Main drivers are futures-curve shape, geopolitical risk, and refinery utilization.
Basic info
- Symbol
- WTI
- Type
- Commodity
- Region
- Global
- Sector
- Energy
- Available history
- 11.2 years
- Last trading day
- 03/30/2026
Basic info
- Symbol
- WTI
- Type
- Commodity
- Region
- Global
- Sector
- Energy
- Available history
- 11.2 years
- Last trading day
- 03/30/2026
Market context
- DXY
- 120.89
- US 10Y Real
- 1.99%
- Fed Balance
- $6.68T
- CPI YoY
- 2.4%
- Fed Rate
- 3.75%
- US 10Y
- 4.35%
- VIX
- 24.54
- HY OAS
- 3.17%
- Brent
- $121.88
- Core CPI
- 2.5%
- US 2Y
- 3.84%
- ISM PMI
- –
Score overview
The overall score combines Performance, Stability and Trend into one comparable value.
Market context
- DXY
- 120.89
- US 10Y Real
- 1.99%
- Fed Balance
- $6.68T
- CPI YoY
- 2.4%
- Fed Rate
- 3.75%
- US 10Y
- 4.35%
- VIX
- 24.54
- HY OAS
- 3.17%
- Brent
- $121.88
- Core CPI
- 2.5%
- US 2Y
- 3.84%
- ISM PMI
- –
Analysis summary
Technical asset picture
WTI Crude Oil (Front Month) (WTI) currently has a total score of 56 points, placing it in the neutral range. The score is made up of Performance (65), Stability (29) and Trend (75). The profile is clearly uneven: Trend stands out while Stability lags.
Performance scores 65 points (strong). Key strength: 1Y return at 48.9 %. Even the weakest return is still strong in absolute terms: 3Y return at 50.1 %.
Stability scores 29 points (weak). Key strength: Sortino ratio (90d) at 56.14. Main drag: volatility (365d, annualized) at 4,418.9 %. That implies very high day-to-day swings. Higher Stability points are better and typically reflect calmer swings and smaller drawdowns-but prices can still fall.
Trend scores 75 points (strong). Key strength: Price is about 227.4 % above SMA50. Main drag: 12M momentum at -96.3 %.
Overall, the picture is mixed: Trend does the heavy lifting while Stability holds the score back. On a metric level, Sortino ratio (90d) stands out, while volatility (365d, annualized) is the main weak spot.
Current market backdrop
The backdrop currently looks mixed and rather restrictive.
A strong US dollar currently paints a mixed risk picture.
High US real yields and elevated long yields lean toward a restrictive rate backdrop.
What that typically means here
For energy and oil-linked assets, higher Brent typically leans supportive.
Note: ISM PMI was not used actively in the effect logic.
Historical evaluation and qualitative market context only, not investment advice.
Price chart
Use the chart to read recent price behavior before drilling into metrics.
Scores and metrics
Explore the overall score, the three pillar scores, and the metrics behind them.