FoxScore

Score guide

Trend

Understand what this score measures.

Score ranking

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Explanation

What Trend tells you

The trend score estimates whether an asset is currently trending up or down versus other assets in our universe. Instead of checking signals one by one, you get a clear read: is momentum more bullish, neutral, or bearish?

We combine multiple trend signals (price vs moving averages like SMA 50/100/200, trend strength, 12‑month momentum, and relative strength vs the benchmark) and rank each signal relative to all assets with data. High values (near 100) mean many signals are in the upper part of the universe; low values (near 0) point to a weaker/negative trend.

Important: The trend score is not a guarantee and can change quickly - especially in sideways regimes. It’s mainly a way to spot the current market regime faster and make decisions (watchlist, timing, risk check) more structured.

Score structure

Main inputs

Price

Latest available price (informational). Displayed in the selected UI currency when FX is available; otherwise we fall back to the original quote currency.

SMA 50

Simple moving average over the last 50 days (price smoothing).

SMA 100

Simple moving average over the last 100 days.

SMA 200

Simple moving average over the last 200 days (popular long-term trend filter).

Price vs SMA 50

(Price / SMA50) − 1. Positive means price is above SMA50.

Price vs SMA 100

(Price / SMA100) − 1. Positive means price is above SMA100.

How to interpret this score

High score means

  • The current technical structure is stronger than many peers.
  • Trend signals should be confirmed with performance, drawdown and liquidity context.

Low score means

  • The asset is technically weaker, losing momentum, or sitting below important reference levels.

Common mistake

  • Using Trend as a standalone timing signal without checking volatility and data quality.
Methodology: formula, weights and inputs

The detailed mechanics remain available here for verification, but the public interpretation should stay focused on the score meaning.

Weights

price_vs_sma50
20 %
price_vs_sma100
20 %
price_vs_sma200
20 %
trend_strength
20 %
momentum_12m
10 %
relative_strength_12m
10 %

Formula

SPVS50  = S_high(price_vs_sma50)
SPVS100 = S_high(price_vs_sma100)
SPVS200 = S_high(price_vs_sma200)
STrend  = S_high(trend_strength)
SMom12  = S_high(momentum_12m)
SRS12   = S_high(relative_strength_12m)

base = WM(0.20*SPVS50 + 0.20*SPVS100 + 0.20*SPVS200 + 0.20*STrend + 0.10*SMom12 + 0.10*SRS12, default=50)
bonus = (is_golden_cross ? +6 : 0) + (is_death_cross ? -6 : 0)
Trend = clamp(round(base + bonus), 0, 100)

Inputs

  • Price
    Latest available price (informational). Displayed in the selected UI currency when FX is available; otherwise we fall back to the original quote currency.
  • SMA 50
    Simple moving average over the last 50 days (price smoothing).
  • SMA 100
    Simple moving average over the last 100 days.
  • SMA 200
    Simple moving average over the last 200 days (popular long-term trend filter).
  • Price vs SMA 50
    (Price / SMA50) − 1. Positive means price is above SMA50.
    Higher is better
  • Price vs SMA 100
    (Price / SMA100) − 1. Positive means price is above SMA100.
    Higher is better
  • Price vs SMA 200
    (Price / SMA200) − 1. Positive means price is above SMA200.
    Higher is better
  • Trend strength
    Measures how consistent the trend has been over the last ~90 days (scale −1 to +1).
    Higher is better
  • Momentum 12M
    Price change over 12 months. Higher is better.
    Higher is better
  • Relative strength 12M
    Outperformance vs the benchmark over 12 months. Higher is better.
    Higher is better
  • Golden cross
    Signal when a shorter SMA (e.g. 50) rises above a longer SMA (e.g. 200).
  • Death cross
    Signal when a shorter SMA falls below a longer SMA.

Related hubs

Continue into connected score and metric explanations.

  1. Scores

    Open related score explanations.

    Overall scorePerformanceStabilityTrend

  2. Metrics

    Open the metrics behind the scores.

    Return 1 YearReturn (3y)Return (5y)Return (10y)Volatility (365d, annualized)Max Drawdown (365d)

FAQ

Common interpretation questions for this score.

What does the trend score tell you - and how is it different from performance?

The trend score describes the current technical state: is the asset in an uptrend or downtrend right now? Performance focuses more on returns over time horizons. An asset can have strong long‑term performance but lose short‑term trend - and vice versa.

Why can the trend score stay high during a pullback?

Because trends don’t have to break in a single day. In a healthy uptrend, pullbacks are normal. The score often stays high as long as the correction remains relatively orderly and the broader structure holds.

How do you spot false signals in the trend score (sideways markets, fake breakouts)?

False signals are common in sideways regimes. Look for consistency: does the move hold for weeks, or does it get reversed quickly? Pair the trend score with the stability score (calm vs. frantic trend) and, if needed, inspect the underlying signals.