FoxScore

Analysis for iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF

Description & usage

The iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF invests in ultra-short U.S. Treasuries and is often used as a defensive cash proxy. Interest-rate sensitivity is low and yield closely tracks front-end U.S. money markets. Key drivers are Fed policy rates, roll yield, and liquidity conditions.

Basic info

Symbol
SGOV
Type
ETF
Region
US
Sector
Bonds
Available history
5.8 years
Last trading day
03/30/2026
TER

Score overview

The overall score combines Performance, Stability and Trend into one comparable value.

Market context

DXY
120.89
US 10Y Real
1.99%
Fed Balance
$6.68T
CPI YoY
2.4%
Fed Rate
3.75%
US 10Y
4.35%
VIX
24.54
HY OAS
3.17%
Brent
$121.88
Core CPI
2.5%
US 2Y
3.84%
ISM PMI

Analysis summary

Technical asset picture

iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF (SGOV) currently has a total score of 52 points, placing it in the neutral range. The score is made up of Performance (32), Stability (84) and Trend (53). The profile is clearly uneven: Stability stands out while Performance lags.

Performance scores 32 points (weak). Least weak metric: 1Y return at 0.0 %. Main drag: 3Y return at 0.2 %.

Stability scores 84 points (very strong). Key strength: volatility (365d, annualized) at 1.1 %. Main drag: return/volatility ratio at 0.02. Higher Stability points are better and typically reflect calmer swings and smaller drawdowns-but prices can still fall.

Trend scores 53 points (neutral). Key strength: Price is about 0.1 % above SMA50. Weaker metric: 12M momentum at 0.0 %.

Overall, the picture is mixed: Stability does the heavy lifting while Performance holds the score back. On a metric level, volatility (365d, annualized) stands out, while 3Y return lags.

Current market backdrop

The backdrop currently looks mixed and rather restrictive.

A strong US dollar currently paints a mixed risk picture.

High US real yields and elevated long yields lean toward a restrictive rate backdrop.

What that typically means here

For bonds and bond-heavy ETFs, higher yields and high real rates typically lean headwind for prices.

Note: ISM PMI was not used actively in the effect logic.

Historical evaluation and qualitative market context only, not investment advice.

Price chart

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