Analysis for ORLEN
Description & usage
ORLEN is an integrated Central European energy group spanning upstream, refining, marketing, and power activities. Earnings are shaped by refining margins, energy-price dynamics, and integration benefits across business lines. Key valuation factors are capital programs, regulatory frameworks, and cash-flow resilience.
Basic info
- Symbol
- PKN.WA
- Type
- Stock
- Region
- Europe
- Sector
- Energy
- Available history
- 11.2 years
- Last trading day
- 04/02/2026
Basic info
- Symbol
- PKN.WA
- Type
- Stock
- Region
- Europe
- Sector
- Energy
- Available history
- 11.2 years
- Last trading day
- 04/02/2026
Market context
- DXY
- 120.89
- US 10Y Real
- 1.99%
- Fed Balance
- $6.68T
- EZ HICP
- 2.0%
- ECB Rate
- 4.25%
- Bund 10Y
- 3.03%
- VIX
- 24.54
- HY OAS
- 3.17%
- Brent
- $121.88
- Core HICP
- 2.3%
- DE 2Y
- 2.62%
- EZ PMI
- –
Score overview
The overall score combines Performance, Stability and Trend into one comparable value.
Market context
- DXY
- 120.89
- US 10Y Real
- 1.99%
- Fed Balance
- $6.68T
- EZ HICP
- 2.0%
- ECB Rate
- 4.25%
- Bund 10Y
- 3.03%
- VIX
- 24.54
- HY OAS
- 3.17%
- Brent
- $121.88
- Core HICP
- 2.3%
- DE 2Y
- 2.62%
- EZ PMI
- –
Analysis summary
Technical asset picture
ORLEN (PKN.WA) currently has a total score of 71 points, placing it in the strong range. The score is made up of Performance (68), Stability (60) and Trend (95). All three sub-scores are currently above average.
Performance scores 68 points (strong). Key strength: 1Y return at 94.0 %. Even the weakest return is still strong in absolute terms: 10Y return at 91.9 %. This points to a sharper upswing more recently.
Stability scores 60 points (strong). Key strength: return/volatility ratio at 3.08. Main drag: max drawdown (10Y) at -71.8 %. That indicates very deep historical drawdowns. Higher Stability points are better and typically reflect calmer swings and smaller drawdowns-but prices can still fall.
Trend scores 95 points (very strong). Key strength: trend strength at 0.95. Even the weakest metric remains solid in absolute terms: 12M momentum at 70.6 %.
Overall, the profile has a clear strength in Trend, while Stability is the main limiter. On a metric level, trend strength stands out, while max drawdown (10Y) is the main weak spot.
Current market backdrop
The backdrop currently looks mixed and rather restrictive.
A strong US dollar currently paints a mixed risk picture.
High US real yields and elevated long yields lean toward a restrictive rate backdrop.
What that typically means here
For energy and oil-linked assets, higher Brent typically leans supportive.
Note: Euro area PMI was not used actively in the effect logic.
Historical evaluation and qualitative market context only, not investment advice.
Price chart
Use the chart to read recent price behavior before drilling into metrics.
Scores and metrics
Explore the overall score, the three pillar scores, and the metrics behind them.