Analysis for Progressive Corporation
Description & usage
Progressive is a major U.S. property and casualty insurer with core exposure to personal and commercial auto policies. Profitability depends on underwriting quality, claims inflation, and pricing discipline. Key metrics are combined ratio, premium growth, investment income, and market-share trends.
Basic info
- Symbol
- PGR
- Type
- Stock
- Region
- US
- Sector
- Financials
- Available history
- 11.2 years
- Last trading day
- 04/02/2026
Basic info
- Symbol
- PGR
- Type
- Stock
- Region
- US
- Sector
- Financials
- Available history
- 11.2 years
- Last trading day
- 04/02/2026
Market context
- DXY
- 120.89
- US 10Y Real
- 1.99%
- Fed Balance
- $6.68T
- CPI YoY
- 2.4%
- Fed Rate
- 3.75%
- US 10Y
- 4.35%
- VIX
- 24.54
- HY OAS
- 3.17%
- Brent
- $121.88
- Core CPI
- 2.5%
- US 2Y
- 3.84%
- ISM PMI
- –
Score overview
The overall score combines Performance, Stability and Trend into one comparable value.
Market context
- DXY
- 120.89
- US 10Y Real
- 1.99%
- Fed Balance
- $6.68T
- CPI YoY
- 2.4%
- Fed Rate
- 3.75%
- US 10Y
- 4.35%
- VIX
- 24.54
- HY OAS
- 3.17%
- Brent
- $121.88
- Core CPI
- 2.5%
- US 2Y
- 3.84%
- ISM PMI
- –
Analysis summary
Technical asset picture
Progressive Corporation (PGR) currently has a total score of 56 points, placing it in the neutral range. The score is made up of Performance (70), Stability (55) and Trend (20). The profile is clearly uneven: Performance stands out while Trend lags.
Performance scores 70 points (strong). Key strength: 10Y return at 555.0 %. Main drag: 1Y return at -31.3 %. This suggests stronger long-term than short-term performance.
Stability scores 55 points (neutral). Key strength: CAGR/drawdown ratio at 0.62. Weaker metric: return/volatility ratio at -1.21. Higher Stability points are better and typically reflect calmer swings and smaller drawdowns-but prices can still fall.
Trend scores 20 points (weak). Trend signals are mostly negative right now. Least weak signal: Price is about 4.9 % below SMA50. Main drag: relative strength (12M) at -37.8 %.
Overall, the picture is mixed: Performance does the heavy lifting while Trend holds the score back. On a metric level, CAGR/drawdown ratio stands out, while return/volatility ratio is the main weak spot.
Current market backdrop
The backdrop currently looks mixed and rather restrictive.
A strong US dollar currently paints a mixed risk picture.
High US real yields and elevated long yields lean toward a restrictive rate backdrop.
What that typically means here
For this asset type, the current backdrop looks mixed rather than clearly directional.
Note: ISM PMI was not used actively in the effect logic.
Historical evaluation and qualitative market context only, not investment advice.
Price chart
Use the chart to read recent price behavior before drilling into metrics.
Scores and metrics
Explore the overall score, the three pillar scores, and the metrics behind them.