Analysis for Erie Indemnity
Description & usage
Erie Indemnity provides management and distribution services to the Erie insurance group and earns fee income linked to written premiums. The company benefits from stable agency relationships and recurring insurance growth. Key drivers are premium trends, expense ratio, investment income, and underwriting conditions.
Basic info
- Symbol
- ERIE
- Type
- Stock
- Region
- US
- Sector
- Insurance
- Available history
- 11.2 years
- Last trading day
- 04/02/2026
Basic info
- Symbol
- ERIE
- Type
- Stock
- Region
- US
- Sector
- Insurance
- Available history
- 11.2 years
- Last trading day
- 04/02/2026
Market context
- DXY
- 120.89
- US 10Y Real
- 1.99%
- Fed Balance
- $6.68T
- CPI YoY
- 2.4%
- Fed Rate
- 3.75%
- US 10Y
- 4.35%
- VIX
- 24.54
- HY OAS
- 3.17%
- Brent
- $121.88
- Core CPI
- 2.5%
- US 2Y
- 3.84%
- ISM PMI
- –
Score overview
The overall score combines Performance, Stability and Trend into one comparable value.
Market context
- DXY
- 120.89
- US 10Y Real
- 1.99%
- Fed Balance
- $6.68T
- CPI YoY
- 2.4%
- Fed Rate
- 3.75%
- US 10Y
- 4.35%
- VIX
- 24.54
- HY OAS
- 3.17%
- Brent
- $121.88
- Core CPI
- 2.5%
- US 2Y
- 3.84%
- ISM PMI
- –
Analysis summary
Technical asset picture
Erie Indemnity (ERIE) currently has a total score of 36 points, placing it in the weak range. The score is made up of Performance (45), Stability (34) and Trend (17). The profile is clearly uneven: Performance stands out while Trend lags.
Performance scores 45 points (neutral). Key strength: 10Y return at 172.3 %. Weaker metric: 1Y return at -39.3 %. This suggests stronger long-term than short-term performance.
Stability scores 34 points (weak). Key strength: CAGR/drawdown ratio at 0.19. Main drag: return/volatility ratio at -1.22. Higher Stability points are better and typically reflect calmer swings and smaller drawdowns-but prices can still fall.
Trend scores 17 points (very weak). Trend signals are mostly negative right now. Least weak signal: Price is about 5.5 % below SMA50. Main drag: 12M momentum at -33.8 %.
Overall, the profile has a clear strength in Performance, while Trend is the main limiter. On a metric level, 10Y return stands out, while return/volatility ratio is the main weak spot.
Current market backdrop
The backdrop currently looks mixed and rather restrictive.
A strong US dollar currently paints a mixed risk picture.
High US real yields and elevated long yields lean toward a restrictive rate backdrop.
What that typically means here
For tech, growth, and communication-services assets, higher real yields and a stronger US dollar typically lean headwind.
Note: DXY is used here as the latest available reading; ISM PMI was not used actively in the effect logic.
Historical evaluation and qualitative market context only, not investment advice.
Price chart
Use the chart to read recent price behavior before drilling into metrics.
Scores and metrics
Explore the overall score, the three pillar scores, and the metrics behind them.