Analysis for Costco
Description & usage
Costco operates a membership-based retail model with high inventory turnover and a focused assortment. A major part of earnings stability comes from recurring membership fees rather than maximum product markups. Core drivers are member growth, renewal rates, and comparable sales performance.
Basic info
- Symbol
- COST
- Type
- Stock
- Region
- US
- Sector
- Consumer Staples
- Available history
- 11.2 years
- Last trading day
- 04/02/2026
Basic info
- Symbol
- COST
- Type
- Stock
- Region
- US
- Sector
- Consumer Staples
- Available history
- 11.2 years
- Last trading day
- 04/02/2026
Market context
- DXY
- 120.89
- US 10Y Real
- 1.99%
- Fed Balance
- $6.68T
- CPI YoY
- 2.4%
- Fed Rate
- 3.75%
- US 10Y
- 4.35%
- VIX
- 24.54
- HY OAS
- 3.17%
- Brent
- $121.88
- Core CPI
- 2.5%
- US 2Y
- 3.84%
- ISM PMI
- –
Score overview
The overall score combines Performance, Stability and Trend into one comparable value.
Market context
- DXY
- 120.89
- US 10Y Real
- 1.99%
- Fed Balance
- $6.68T
- CPI YoY
- 2.4%
- Fed Rate
- 3.75%
- US 10Y
- 4.35%
- VIX
- 24.54
- HY OAS
- 3.17%
- Brent
- $121.88
- Core CPI
- 2.5%
- US 2Y
- 3.84%
- ISM PMI
- –
Analysis summary
Technical asset picture
Costco (COST) currently has a total score of 82 points, placing it in the very strong range. The score is made up of Performance (84), Stability (88) and Trend (70). All three sub-scores are currently above average.
Performance scores 84 points (very strong). Key strength: 10Y return at 660.2 %. Main drag: 1Y return at 6.3 %. This suggests stronger long-term than short-term performance.
Stability scores 88 points (very strong). Key strength: CAGR/drawdown ratio at 0.72. Main drag: return/volatility ratio at 0.32. Higher Stability points are better and typically reflect calmer swings and smaller drawdowns-but prices can still fall.
Trend scores 70 points (strong). Key strength: trend strength at 0.82. Main drag: relative strength (12M) at -11.8 %.
Overall, the very strong total score is driven mainly by Stability and Performance; Trend is the biggest lever for improvement. On a metric level, CAGR/drawdown ratio stands out, while relative strength (12M) is the main weak spot.
Current market backdrop
The backdrop currently looks mixed and rather restrictive.
A strong US dollar currently paints a mixed risk picture.
High US real yields and elevated long yields lean toward a restrictive rate backdrop.
What that typically means here
For this asset type, the current backdrop looks mixed rather than clearly directional.
Note: ISM PMI was not used actively in the effect logic.
Historical evaluation and qualitative market context only, not investment advice.
Price chart
Use the chart to read recent price behavior before drilling into metrics.
Scores and metrics
Explore the overall score, the three pillar scores, and the metrics behind them.